10 February 2013

#Marian Gerry Adams and straining relations with the truth

I’d rather we were ruled by intelligent liars than sincere fools.
Chris Dillow, Stumbling and Mumbling

Politicians have to lie, be hypocritical and change their minds. If they didn't ever, there'd be no such thing as a political party. Nor could they rise to meet the changing aspirations of any democratic society. Chris admits four general circumstances in which it might be okay for a politician to lie:
  1. To preserve stability 
  2. To fob off silly speculation 
  3. To promote decent policies in the face of an ignorant or prejudiced electorate 
  4. To project strength 

On that poll: FG dropping back towards Ireland's large political peloton

Let's get one thing straight, polls do not increase or decrease the size of a political party. They are snapshots of opinion, not predictors of the future. So whilst Sinn Fein was never the second largest party in the state, neither is Fianna Fail currently the largest.

 Of course both, if trends continue, are set to make gains in the next big elections, which are the Locals and Europeans. But all we can say at the moment is that the current situation is volatile, and the government parties are suffering.

08 February 2013

Ignoring the small issue of a border poll, what might a new united Ireland be like?

(This should have appeared early on Friday morning - until the gremlins got in the way.)

Last week, before the release of the BBC NI Spotlight poll, I talked to a local MLA about the concept of a new Ireland. Over the last few months there has been an increasing level of chatter analysing the mechanics of calling a border poll and interpreting census results.

Curiosity got the better of me and I decided to delve under the instinctive longing and loathing that is so often associated with the notion of a united Ireland to explore what the new state might look like if the conditions could ever be met to have a poll.

Much – though not all – of the commentary comes back to promoting a nationalist ideal of an El Dorado paradise or declaring the unionist nightmare of forcibly cutting ties to the British monarch.

Intellectually it’s a lot more interesting to get beyond the emotion and wonder … What if? What might be the shape of this potential state? How might the population in the north east corner relate to those in the south west? What governance arrangements might be put in place, or indeed left in place? What parts of Northern Ireland’s public sector and civil society would survive, or even thrive? How would the six counties integrate with the twenty six?

And while a poll may be a distant prospect, grasping the Presbyterian principle of ‘not refusing light from any quarter’ I wondered whether a Northern Ireland that is still settled in the Union had anything to learn from new Ireland thinking.

I’d heard Conall McDevitt, SDLP MLA for South Belfast, talking about the importance of region at an election event a couple of years ago, so I met up with him last week to pick his brains. We talked about identity, economy and his opinion of Sinn Féin’s “flag-waving” activity around the border poll. But first I asked about his vision of a united Ireland.


I think one of the great issues with the debate around the a border poll and in fact one of the great issues within both Irish unionism and Irish nationalism is that we have an awful habit of wanting to either remain in the union or to be in a united Ireland. But if we’re honest with ourselves we haven’t done a huge amount of work in trying to work through what that would look like (if you’re thinking about a united Ireland) or to consider the practical issues around it. How would you pay for it? What system of government might be best? Would it be a unitary state? Or would you have a federal Ireland?

Down for a while again...

We've had a bit of a problem with the wordpress website. We're in the process of sorting that out, though that may take a while. In the meantime, this is a stopgap blog for the time being.

We'll try to get things back to normal as soon as possible, but it may take a while.